tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3006642460638179212024-02-19T07:29:31.767-08:00The World Without LiesPolitical and economic commentaries.Marek K Nowakhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13266994413723107589noreply@blogger.comBlogger10125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-300664246063817921.post-23214787864412543232012-11-08T02:24:00.001-08:002012-11-08T03:13:54.550-08:00Stephen Fry, a mass murder apologist?<br />
<b>Stephen Fry on Qi</b>:
<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg31SRBREok7tZN5PWtqxRnLQ5VYwwJqENt9QZB8jGhpYVMVtdEMPUxd-o45993sTPajugoiYIQbwT9ePgsKiTKUpEHjVesQeC0vY6liuoZezW9tJIkdRHELnKt0vjuQrejJIPGp9hgekw/s1600/1266584975Stephen_Fry.JPG" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg31SRBREok7tZN5PWtqxRnLQ5VYwwJqENt9QZB8jGhpYVMVtdEMPUxd-o45993sTPajugoiYIQbwT9ePgsKiTKUpEHjVesQeC0vY6liuoZezW9tJIkdRHELnKt0vjuQrejJIPGp9hgekw/s320/1266584975Stephen_Fry.JPG" width="214" /></a></div>
<i>[Stephen Fry] "<b><span style="font-size: large;">What do the Icelandic Eyjafjallajökull volcano eruption and Genghis Khan have in common?</span></b></i><br />
<i><br /></i>
<i>The odd thing is that it's both very beneficial, especially at the moment we talk about a lot.</i><br />
<i><br /></i>
<i>Now, that volcano poured out, they recon, between 150 thousands 300 thousands tons of carbon dioxide, so huge amount of carbon came out as a result of it. But, if you remember, no one flew for how ever long it was, and the lack of flying saved 3 million tons. So in fact, it was a huge offset of carbon.</i><br />
<i><br /></i>
<i>And in case of Genghis Khan, he slaughtered his way across the world, he had the largest empire the world has ever seen, 4 times bigger than that of Alexander, twice the size of the Roman empire, and he killed about 40 million people, and the result was there was so little farming, forest grew back, and <b>you could time a huge benefit to the world from his slaughter</b>.</i><br />
<i><br /></i>
<i>But that's rather extraordinary, isn't?"</i><br />
<br />
Please see the link to <a href="http://youtu.be/CJB20mC4Rqc?t=8m37s">the video here</a>.<br />
<br />
What is rather extraordinary is that such radical statements praising mass murder goes unnoticed in polite society.<br />
<br />
It should be shocking to anyone who has any kind of empathy to human suffering, that claiming that 40 million deaths constitute a "huge benefit to the world" is something monstrous to say.<br />
<br />
Countless of men, women, children, orphans starving to death on the side of their their slaughtered parents, this is apparently worth to Mr Fry the benefit of some trees growing back and weed taking over abandoned farms.<br />
<br />
I have another riddle for Mr Fry:<br />
<br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><b><i>What do George Bernard Shaw and Stephen Fry have in common?</i></b></span><br />
<i><br /></i>
<i><a href="http://youtu.be/hQvsf2MUKRQ?t=32s">They both</a> believe that mass murder is something beneficial for the world.</i><br />
<br />
Through history, there always existed intelligent people who were blindly in love with their own ideologies, that they justified killing innocent people in order to achieve their Utopian world.<br />
<br />
The Hiltlerian regime didn't come out of nowhere with the idea of eliminating "social parasites", it was ideas explicitly supported by intellectuals like George Bernard Shaw who morally justified and made possible the mass murder of innocent people.<br />
<br />
As the common saying goes, we must be careful of what we wish, because it might very well happen.<br />
<br />
I call upon Mr Fry to retract his words, and publicly apologize for giving voice such cruel and appalling ideology, which state that humans death is a benefit to the world.Marek K Nowakhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13266994413723107589noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-300664246063817921.post-54705791660919501042010-09-14T13:18:00.001-07:002010-09-22T09:55:27.335-07:00Top 10 Myths about Economics<p align="left"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhVM6rH0evBUOBTj0ylwVrXQjW5LFOK8ZGoMaGVEB41khPjUf-fPata8XCPdMbGb_k0WdKyDJMz7CQfDPOa61Htu1iwPHh5DI_YCWtYR6PntYsChtLxOim8ff6NKmo3a0_x4WXQCRDIspc/s1600-h/loch_ness%5B4%5D.png"><img style="background-image: none; border-right-width: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; display: inline; border-top-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px" title="loch_ness" border="0" alt="loch_ness" align="right" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhQYjBahATo9LvMWAZ6DBrAAIhFZ0PLI9yhECvpFfBfXggX5VSpv93sjr8RriTZPb91w8lyR4baFy4aPvq7wgrRM8adaRlnk2voEcNworj1vUSXth3JlwmAiXHq6G3xwC1tc4ejzNer03M/?imgmax=800" width="240" height="183" /></a>The level of understanding of economics by the general public, the financial press, politicians, journalists and academia is often widely off the mark, which would be amusing if it wouldn’t have such dire consequences for the general welfare of the population.</p> <p>The ideas commonly held about economics originate often from superstition, ignorance, bias against foreigners or strangers, but more often from plain propaganda, where one group of people want to promote its interest by spreading disinformation.</p> <p>I collected the following list of economic myths, and a short rebuttal:</p> <hr /> <p><strong><font size="4">10</font>. Economic growth means people have more money</strong></p> <p>No.  Economic growth means that people are more productive, and produce more goods using less resources (mostly labor time).</p> <p>Economic growth causes a general fall in prices, as when there are more goods relative to the money supply, the ration of units of money over units of goods is lower.</p> <p>For example, the computer hardware industry has been growing tremendously over the last 30 years, along with a steady fall in the price of computers and peripherals.</p> <p>What people typically mistake as economic growth are in fact artificial booms created by the creation of money (“easy money policies”) of the central bank, which causes artificial profits and speculative bubbles, that later collapse once the source of the boom is withheld.</p> <hr /> <p><strong><font size="4">9</font>. The economy can “overheat” when growth is too high</strong></p> <p>By “overheating”, most economic commentators means “prices are increasing faster”.  </p> <p>Once again, this is not the effect of economic growth – which causes general prices to fall – but of an artificial speculative bubble caused by an expansion of credit directed by the central bank.</p> <p>Once the new money created by the central bank percolates through the economy, it eventually makes prices rise (more money leads to less goods per money unit, which leads to higher money per good ratio, i.e. higher prices).</p> <p>This is not a phenomenon of the free market, but of government manipulation of the financial market.</p> <hr /> <p><strong><font size="4">8</font>. Free trade is shipping jobs abroad</strong></p> <p>Free trade is always bi-directional, otherwise it would be called “foreign aid”.</p> <p>Therefore, when, say, an American buys a good from China, paying in US dollars, the Chinese seller ultimately gets paid back in exchange by buying a US good.</p> <p>This US good can be either a consumer good (such as a trip to DisneyLand), or a capital good (such as heavy machinery), or a financial asset (such as government debt securities).</p> <p>What is typically reported in the press about the current account deficit is typically reporting only trades of tangible goods, without reporting trades of services or financial assets (which is recorded in the capital account).</p> <p>So this means that when foreign investors invest in mass in the US, this causes a capital account surplus, and a current account deficit – which makes good headlines for the press, but a misleading understanding of international trade.</p> <p>Free trade does not destroy jobs, but reallocate jobs in a given country from relatively less competitive to relatively more competitive sectors.</p> <p>Preventing free trade impoverish both population of country, while free trade promotes peace, cooperation, and improvement in living standards.</p> <hr /> <p><strong><font size="4">7</font>. Without the minimum wage, people would earn below subsistence wage</strong></p> <p>The vast majority of US workers in the private sector earn more than the minimum wage.  </p> <p>Also, many western countries do not even have minimum wage laws (Switzerland, Germany, Italy, Austria, Norway, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, etc…) , but their workforce still enjoy relatively high wages.</p> <p>The force that drives the price of labor up in the free market is competition by employers, and capital investment which increase workers productivity.</p> <p>Minimum wage laws in fact makes illegal for poor and low skilled people (especially young workers) from being employed at all.  </p> <p>This deprived those workers of the much needed “step in the door” in the labor market, which would allow them to gain experience and increase their productivity and their wage.</p> <p>For example, young black males unemployment rates in the US were the same as white males in the 1940s before minimum wage laws existed.  From 1890 through 1930, every survey showed that black men had the same participation rate in the labor market, if not higher, than white men.   But since minimum wage laws were instituted, young black male unemployment soared, reaching 35% today, 20 points above other ethnicities.</p> <p>Worker’s Unions typically lobby politicians for higher minimum wage laws in an effort to eliminate their direct competitors (lower skilled workers) and increase their own wages at the expense of poor people.</p> <hr /> <p><strong><font size="4">6</font>. Government spending helps the economy</strong></p> <p>One thing that is true, is that government spending helps GDP statistics looks better, since the government spending is counted as a direct contributor, on par with private spending. </p> <p>However, this is an obvious flaw in the GDP statistics accounting, rather than a reflection on the real contribution of the government spending on the amount of goods produced in the economy.</p> <p>Basically, the problem is that we can’t consider on the same level goods that are produced and paid for voluntarily by consumers, and services paid by the government with money taken from taxes.</p> <p>For example, if a private citizen decides to spend 100$ on tickets for a trip to Disneyland, this tells something about the value of the service produced by the Disney Corporation in operating the attraction park.  </p> <p>That a bureaucrat decides to spend someone else’s money (the tax payer), to the extent of 389,357$ on a <a href="http://www.research.buffalo.edu/ovpr/arra/awards.cfm?a=PN64210">study of whether malt liquor should be used with or without marijuana</a> says very little about the value of the service produced to society.</p> <p>Government spending also does not help the economy in general, as soon as one consider the source of government spending – if someone claims that the government spending has “multiplier effect” in the economy (as do many economist trained as propagandist for the government), then when one realize that money spent by the government has first to be taken from producers in the private sector (either through taxes, inflation, or borrowing), this confiscation must also have a “divider effect” – which is not surprisingly never discussed when we hear about the alleged benefits of government stimulus spending.</p> <p>In other words, if the government spends 100$, and those receiving it in turns spends it, and so on, then the persons that were taxed had also 100$ less to spend other other goods in the private sector, and so are the people who would have received the 100$, and so on.</p> <p>And since government spending is worth much less, as we seen above, government spending is actual destroying wealth in the society.</p> <p>An argument that I am not addressing here is the alleged ‘fall in aggregate demand’, which completely ignores the existence of prices.</p> <hr /> <p><font size="4"><strong>5</strong></font><strong>. We are better off today than 100 years ago because of technology</strong></p> <p>Technology (the knowledge of how natural resources can be transformed to satisfy ends) isn’t sufficient into producing the means to satisfy those ends.</p> <p>For instance, the ancient Greeks had discovered the steam engine, yet it did not foster economic development as it did at the beginning of the industrial revolution.</p> <p>Sub-Saharan Africa has access to all the knowledge and technology that the west uses, alas it remains poor.</p> <p>This is because the knowledge isn’t enough, what is needed is the capital goods that make use of that knowledge.  Without saving, it is not possible to accumulate capital goods, and without capital the population is reduced to use unproductive means of production. </p> <p>Today, we are better off in the west because we have more goods, because we are more productive, thanks to the capital accumulation and the saving of the previous generations over decades and centuries.</p> <p>As Ludwig von Mises explain, the essential institutional requirements for saving and capital accumulation are: liberty, private property, and sound money.</p> <hr /> <p><strong><font size="4">4</font>. Poor countries are poor because they don’t have money</strong></p> <p>Poor countries are poor, mainly because their citizen are less productive than the citizen of western countries.</p> <p>They are less productive because they use much less capital goods.  For instance, the farmers in Africa do not use modern agricultural techniques, using tractors, fertilizers, and so on, because they lack the savings required to buy those capital goods, or because those capital goods are typically expropriated or destroyed before they can be put to profitable use.</p> <p>Many poor countries have dysfunctional capital formation mainly because of lack of 1) private property rights 2) liberty to use one’s property, and 3) sound money.  </p> <p>Poor countries are plagued by governments that routinely violates their citizen’s property rights, through taxes, licenses, permits, tariffs, regulations, and outright expropriation, so that saving and investment is a futile exercise since the savings do not benefit the person abstaining from consuming his own income.</p> <p>In fact, government that issue the most money typically impoverish their population the most (everyone is a billionaire in Zimbabwe).</p> <hr /> <p><strong><font size="4">3</font>. High prices are caused by greedy businessmen</strong></p> <p>In spite of the desire from greedy businessmen to maximize their profit, competition on the free market by entrepreneurs leads to higher capital investment, higher productivity, higher production, and generally lower prices.</p> <p>The ultimate cause of the increase in prices is the deliberate devaluation of the currencies, year after year, by increasing the quantity of money in the economy by the central bank.</p> <p>In the US, for example, the quantity of money (M2) went from roughly 300 billions in 1960 to 8500 billions in 2009, while the value of the US dollar lost 86% of its purchasing power over the same period.</p> <p>In other words, 100 dollar saved in 1960 will today only buy 14$ of goods – 86$ having been expropriated through the devaluation of the currency.</p> <hr /> <p><strong><font size="4">2</font>. For someone to get rich, others have to get poor</strong></p> <p>It is true that, given a fixed stock of money, one cannot increase his cash holding without someone else having to reduce his own.</p> <p>The major caveat being that money is not wealth in the aggregate sense, meaning that even though one person becomes wealthier by having a larger cash holding, all other things equal, having more money in the economy does not generate more wealth, it simply reduces the value of the existing money stock.</p> <p>Fortunately there is many other ways of being wealthy, one being by owning capital goods.  </p> <p>For example, the stock of money can remain constant over time in a village, but if a farmer plough his land, accumulate live stock, dig a new well (i.e. he refrain from consuming all his income, and instead invest parts of it in improvement of his capital stock), he becomes wealthier without other villagers to having to get poor.</p> <p>In fact, by being able to produce more agricultural goods, and exchanging them to the other villagers, the farmer makes everyone wealthier.</p> <p>The same is true for modern entrepreneurs, as long as they operate strictly on the free market, and do not use privileges by the governments (subsidies, government contracts, tariffs, patents, licenses, grants, eminent domain benefits, regulations, etc..) to enrich themselves at the expense of others.</p> <hr /> <p><strong><font size="4">1</font>. War, disasters and destruction cause economic prosperity</strong></p> <p>This is the classic <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parable_of_the_broken_window">broken window fallacy</a>.  </p> <p>This idea claims that by destroying goods, the activity required to replace those goods will improve the conditions of everyone in the economy by promoting the circulation of money.</p> <p>It goes without saying that the purpose of producing goods in the first place is to enjoy the services of the goods produced by this process.  Toiling to produce goods is not something anyone wants to do for its own sake, and destroying the produced good simply to suffer the disutility of having to produce them again is nonsensical.</p> <p>The problem arise when the production process is divided between different persons through the division of labor and voluntary exchange (the exchange economy).  Once someone produces goods not for his own consumption but for someone else's, the problem for the producer of deciding which goods to produce that will satisfy other people’s needs arises, which didn’t exist when a single person was producing goods for his own consumption.</p> <p>Basically, in an exchange economy, some people (called entrepreneurs) will take upon themselves to discover which goods should be produced, and coordinate the producers desire for an income, with the consumers spending intentions for those goods, through competition and the price system.</p> <p>This is a task of coordination that will always exist in all economic organizations where there is a division of labor.  </p> <p>The fundamental error in the broken window fallacy is to completely ignore this coordination task, and assume that the glazier’s (see the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parable_of_the_broken_window">link</a> above) desire for an income can only be satisfied by destroying existing windows, since not enough demand exist without it for all the glaziers in the town.</p> <p>In fact, the glazier would have to realize that demand for window repair services are satiated, and that his task is to discover (since he is small business owner, hence an entrepreneur) which goods consumers would like to be produced, so that he can reallocate his labor to the production of those goods, if he wants to remain involved in the exchange economy.</p> <p>It is obvious then that the fallacy of destruction is a naïve attempt to find which goods needs to be produced: "<em>If a good exist already, then it must be because there was a demand for it, so instead of discovering which goods needs to be produced, we can only destroy the existing goods, and the coordination problem will be resolved</em>”.  Needless to say, this solved the problem for the <em>coordinator </em>only, at the expense of the owner of the good.</p> <p>As long as humans have needs that are not fully satisfied, and the freedom to satisfy those needs exist, employment through the division of labor will be possible. </p> <p>If we ever reach the Garden of Eden, where all human needs are fulfilled, then we will not be able to find employment in the division of labor, but then we wouldn’t need a job nor an income either, since all our needs will be satisfied.</p> <p>The fundamental truism remains that destruction destroys wealth, and makes the economy poorer than it would be otherwise.  Destroying capital goods also makes the economy less productive, so is allocating capital goods to the production of goods that have been needlessly destroyed.</p> <p>It is an indisputable fact that without the destruction having ever happen, the society would have been richer than it would be by re-producing destroyed goods.</p> <p>That destruction causes prosperity is an old fallacy (Resurrected in modern times by J.M. Keynes), that originates from the ignorance of one fundamental insight of economics science (from Hazlitt):</p> <p><em>To see the problem as a whole, and not in fragments: that is the goal of economic science</em></p> <hr /> <p>Understandably, most person reading this list will be unconvinced by few or many of the short description attempting to dispel the myths.  Many “<em>yes, but…” </em>“<em>you haven’t tough of…</em>” and “<em>this is wrong because…</em>” should be heard in the average reader’s mind.</p> <p>There is simply not enough space in a short blog post to give a comprehensive economics lesson.</p> <p>If this list made your curious about learning more, a good start would be this book:</p> <p><a href="http://mises.org/store/Economics-in-One-Lesson-P33.aspx">Economics in One Lesson</a></p> <p>Also available for free online <a href="http://www.fee.org/pdf/books/Economics_in_one_lesson.pdf">here</a>.</p> <p> </p> <p><font size="1">Loch Ness picture from user Carla216 on Flicker, creative commons.</font></p> Marek K Nowakhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13266994413723107589noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-300664246063817921.post-66304179722118026812010-08-27T08:57:00.001-07:002010-08-27T09:20:16.111-07:00The Dow Jones still hasn’t recovered from…the Great Depression.<p>Almost all financial advisers, when discussing about gold as an investment, will not fail to mention its infamous price in January 1980 of 800$ / oz, and how adjusted for inflation today, it would be a lousy investment.</p> <p>The problem is that these comments underlines the lack of rigor of the commentators by cherry picking a price that existed only for a few days 30 years ago.</p> <p>By the same measure, are financial advisers always mentioning to their clients when buying stocks that the DOJ still hasn’t recovered from the Great Depression of 1929?</p> <p>Indeed, since in October 30th 1929, the DJI hit 380.33.  </p> <p>In these days, $20.60 was defined as 1oz of gold (the US was more or less under the classical gold standard).  So that meant that the 20$ bills were redeemable at the US treasury for a 20$ gold coin containing .96750 troy oz of pure gold (20$ / 0.96750 oz happens to equate 20.6 $/oz).</p> <p>So the DJI was worth <strong>18.5 oz of gold.</strong></p> <p>Fast forward 80 years, the DJI is today (August 27th 2010) at 10078, which is worth (gold spot being currently 1241$/oz) … <strong>8.1 oz of gold</strong>, which means $167.28 in 1929 dollars.</p> <p>Basically, using the same unit of money that existed in 1929, <strong>the Dow Jones industrial index is worth today less than half (167 vs. 380) of what it was 80 years ago.</strong></p> <p align="center"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiEMMtDgz1COV8QhJ7NBCYywn5TMaUHCKAqaCFH8l4eeoJI1PDm78m6d5tvxezgW6Nlc1RDNEgwtZ8JXAGoS4nnZRZA9wXwu5emkN4QibuJCZl7l8lZFarWE79oI5rakniMy1PL5lAHyas/s1600-h/image%5B8%5D.png"><img style="background-image: none; border-right-width: 0px; margin: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; display: inline; border-top-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; padding-top: 0px" title="image" border="0" alt="image" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEggnk-Ug7RMjly0yeWHnydftCExv98t-8wakZ0W7malW3WXjiVYF5Ct6lzJKuKQjXgp3unat13-RoLAnPFpakvWRE1wUbiTvZDxTh_wWoPkwW40KGNfz2G8hP4ARFWuQVMWD6NSMpt8JVI/?imgmax=800" width="244" height="132" /></a></p> <p>In fact, in the graph above, we can see the variation of the DJI in terms of gold over the years (source: finance.yahoo.com, world gold council).</p> <p>Note that the raise of the DJ/gold ratio in the 1960’s is mainly caused by the artificial pegging of the price of gold by the US government  at 35$/oz, while the run up in the 1990’s is partially caused by the mass selling and lending of bullion by American and European central banks.</p> <p>Moral of this story?  By cherry picking dates, we can portrait an investment class in any light we want. </p> <p>But financial advisers, who often are also stock brokers, or work for stock brokerage firms, align their advice with their interests, and recommend investment vehicles that fill their own pockets first.</p> Marek K Nowakhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13266994413723107589noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-300664246063817921.post-59497159953161593712010-07-06T05:21:00.001-07:002011-02-17T08:47:45.320-08:00Khan Academy: Teaching falsehoods to 200 000 kids a month?<p>I read recently about the <a href="http://www.khanacademy.org/">Khan Academy</a>.  </p> <p>This academy consist of a person recording hundreds of youtube videos teaching different subjects, going from mathematics, chemistry, biology, history, and <strong>economics</strong>.</p> <p>The teachings are short, 10 minute videos, targeted at explaining to the student and dilettante many scientific subjects.</p> <p>Allegedly, up to 200 000 students are visiting the site each month.</p> <p>I didn’t watch the other themes, and I assume they are fine, but the ones about economics are terribly bad.</p> <p>It is doubtful if Mr. Khan even had a micro-economics class (since you don’t hear him talk about supply and demand basics), but it seems typical of the learned intellectual who seem to think that because he knows some scientific subject, he can just “think” about economics in his head, without learning systematically about the subject, and whatever seem to be “<strong>common sense”</strong> to him must be true. </p> <p>For instance, for Mr. Khan, what causes inflation is (typical scapegoats) <em><strong>businessmen raising their prices</strong>. </em>Why do businessmen raise their prices, according to Mr. Khan?  Simply because they can, when there’s high utilization of the factors of productions (e.g, a factory producing at half capacity).</p> <p>The fact that the US dollar lost 96% of its purchasing power over the last century is apparently simply due to greedy businessmen.  </p> <p>Not surprisingly, Mr Khan has no notion of money supply (money is simply a “unit”).  </p> <p>Mr. Khan analysis is one that statically look a a single company, or a set of a handful of companies, in a given year, and speculates (badly) on their hypothetical behavior without having any clue about what forces will lead to prices change in equilibrium.</p> <p>Mr. Khan needs to read an introductory book (as <a href="http://mises.org/books/whathasgovernmentdone.pdf">this one</a>, for example) about money, and learn that <strong>it is not businessmen that cause the general price level to rise, but the Federal Reserve that increase the money supply, year after year, and destroy the purchasing power of the monetary unit</strong>.</p> <p>In fact, the truth is the opposite – businessmen, by their capital investment, cause an increase in productivity, which leads to higher production, and lower prices in general.</p> <p>What does Mr. Khan shows as evidence of his theory?  The following graph:</p> <p align="center"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjdsRPqIaoc62Ocbr6C2wFJMp8FCsr5V7Jh6P6_SSV03TR6juJiwLFIi8_kU0l1N1uNuapjDcmq2MbF6JgW4wlmkuLQxJWblyvNtdiPL6kOwd9mtpTiPK06m7y9i-0uia2AEneQgXaW4zk/s1600-h/image%5B2%5D.png"><img style="border-right-width: 0px; display: inline; border-top-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px" class="wlDisabledImage" title="image" border="0" alt="image" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgnoixqXzgujxgm88Awv1JswUcoEnNwP2J0WeOKnqCiJ_Vz8f3p1tByliBjaSTigOgV9hnvcXfDY0jCWEUcILVtgQr3Ija-VErcCszr9slwNQCWM9Affy3-Nh86wRkb51Kuw9pUie5Yz9c/?imgmax=800" width="244" height="132" /></a></p> <p>(sorry for the bad resolution, taken from his video)</p> <p>The “capacity utilization” (I’m not sure what metric he uses) is in orange, while the price index is in white;.</p> <p>Mr Khan pretends that the former (the capacity utilization) is cause of the later (the price index).  So when one rises (capacity utilization), the other should raise as well (price index).</p> <p>If there’s any example of confirmation bias, that is one.</p> <p>At best, that graph shows that there’s no correlation between the two metrics (for some years, they raise in parallel, while other years, one raise while the other falls). </p> <p>For the entire decade after 1990, prices fall while capacity utilization increases.</p> <p>Worse, the graph fundamentally contradict Mr. Khan’s arguments, which is that “high capacity utilization” causes prices to rise, and low utilization causes prices to fall.  Indeed, his graph shows the <em>CPI change rate</em>, which is the rate at which prices increase, not the price level itself.</p> <p>Basically, his graph shows that the price level increase year after year, no matter is the capacity utilization is high or low.  The price level <strong>never </strong>decrease for all the decades presented (the CPI change  rate never go below 0%).  So it doesn’t explain why prices increase at all, since they increase no matter what is the capacity utilization – and the rate doesn’t even correlate with the capacity utilization.</p> <p>So in fact, this graph is the very refutation of his own argument.</p> <p>Then, Mr. Khan even goes on to say <strong>that </strong><em><strong>he was worried about hyperinflation because capacity utilization was getting too high</strong> </em>at the end of last decade.</p> <p>Why do Mr. Khan “common sense” fails?  Because he incorrectly extrapolate from his single analysis of an isolated business (which is far from accurate) to the general economy: the fallacy of composition.</p> <p>Mr. Khan does not explain why would capacity utilization fluctuate at large in the economy, how it could become “uncontrollably high” as to generate hyperinflation, nor why isn’t high capacity utilization naturally counterbalanced by increase in investment, rising of the interest rate, and decrease in consumption.  </p> <p>Nor, why would cycles of high and low “capacity utilization” would cause a sustained increase in prices?  Why wouldn’t the prices go high and low, and overall remain stable over time?</p> <p>Why would not the general increase in productivity over the years, and general increase in production cause a general fall in prices instead (more supply –> lower prices)?  </p> <p>Just basic econ 101 questions that Mr. Khan fails even to consider.</p> <p>Maybe Mr. Khan should look at this graph instead, and he will maybe start to understand the main reason why prices increase, year after year:</p> <p align="center"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhXD3VKqTFYFUUZ6_5IdlidGIfEwwQJvFrTHOQi6ytGxKWEdyIrp5Y8n-w6UYc25Rmz913zV6Mf0cBxp75HQpd3CzlyYw56M2ZJTS-_svxhXpIjRLXjzKuc7N8_Rp6GWTL3f7P6TBXAo8k/s1600-h/image%5B3%5D.png"><img style="border-right-width: 0px; display: inline; border-top-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px" class="wlDisabledImage" title="image" border="0" alt="image" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjMwdb7Vf27p2pd2gpujT2khsFrLZTCimRfKlhgACz4jm5IYm-o3eBD9zZjUsz_G906NV9Pzxyl_DzQ3u8MF9fb669XyMtvHLWTVTcQanRzpb4mcmHRgIZZ0usTpEWnEav2oTV0shPFV6Y/?imgmax=800" width="244" height="149" /></a></p> <p align="center"><a title="http://mises.org/content/nofed/chart.aspx?series=TMS" href="http://mises.org/content/nofed/chart.aspx?series=TMS">http://mises.org/content/nofed/chart.aspx?series=TMS</a></p> <p>Unfortunately, this is not all of Mr Khan’s pitfalls.</p> <p>In Mr. Khan example, businessmen simply go purchasing luxury cars at the first sight of profit.  The only thing they control is the asking prices of their goods, and ask high as they can mange to get.  They are not investors, but behaves like spendthrift customers.</p> <p>Mr Khan also shows the typically intellectual anti-business mentality, where in his example, for a company to be successful, they must deceive customers (by putting nicotine in their cupcakes) and gouge them arbitrarily (“increase prices when utilization is high”). </p> <p>The problem is that, like most intellectuals, Mr. Khan would be a terrible businessman, who would go quickly out of business against better competitor if he was to behave as he portraits businessmen to behave in his examples.</p> <p>Businessmen are not moron who can only tinker with prices (those who are are not in business for long) to maximize their profit rate.  What they want is maximize their profit, no matter what is the rate they will have (better to have 10% on 2 millions $ than 50% on 50k $), and by forecasting their customers and competitors behaviors, they invest, expand, change, innovate accordingly.</p> <p>In conclusion, that Mr. Khan is economically illiterate is not a problem, but that he remains in this state of ignorance and go teach students about his ideas is a danger to the progress of knowledge and the general welfare of society.</p> Marek K Nowakhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13266994413723107589noreply@blogger.com33tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-300664246063817921.post-26882313992551998212010-02-20T04:58:00.000-08:002010-02-20T13:02:19.083-08:00Off Topic: OWC Mercury Extreme Enterprise Class SSDOther World Computing (OWC) is selling a <a href="http://eshop.macsales.com/item/Other%20World%20Computing/SSDMXE200/">new SSD hard drive</a> that includes the new SandForce SF-1500 processor (see <a href="http://www.anandtech.com/storage/showdoc.aspx?i=3702">this review</a> for more information on the SandForce chipset).<div><br /></div><br /><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjtKWH7IoBvGz5o_aVLPZBFfhcoSCn4AFwWoaZollBOCg7qI-QxOXq-hQfEQY2bD91dSAQuyWdYyckFsQaeJUsNIgLFFVIXq85RXDpQb5EXHbVRPJeFAWOS1KwJJ7T262Pt5rtaySv_5Kk/s1600-h/extremeSSD.jpg" style="text-decoration: none;"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 215px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjtKWH7IoBvGz5o_aVLPZBFfhcoSCn4AFwWoaZollBOCg7qI-QxOXq-hQfEQY2bD91dSAQuyWdYyckFsQaeJUsNIgLFFVIXq85RXDpQb5EXHbVRPJeFAWOS1KwJJ7T262Pt5rtaySv_5Kk/s320/extremeSSD.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5440311162843560978" /></a><div><div style="text-align: center;"><i>OWC Mercury Extreme Enterprise Class SSD</i></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div>Its feature list are quite impressive, including:<div><br /></div><div><ul><li>Over 250 MB/s read and write performance (on a Mac Pro).</li><li>Sizes from 50GB to 200GB (from 229$ to 779$)</li><li><b>10 million hours </b>Mean Time Before Failure (compared to 1.2 million for the Intel X25-M)</li><li>5 years guarantee</li><li>Advanced Wear Level Management, so that the performance won't degrade over time even without using the TRIM feature (critical for Mac OS X users, since Apple is yet to support it in its operating system).</li></ul></div><div>I was waiting for quite some time for a SSD upgrade, and OWC convinced me this was the one, and that this SSD was mature enough for professional, intensive, and carefree use.</div><div><br /></div><div>I bought some memory and laptop hardware from OWC before, and I was impressed with their customer support, so I didn't mind trying a new product from them.</div><div><br /></div><div>For the following benchmarks, I tried the <a href="http://eshop.macsales.com/item/Other%20World%20Computing/SSDMXE200/">200 GB SSD model</a> both as an the main internal hard drive of a MacBook Pro, and as an external hard drive attached to the MacBook Pro through an eSATA ExpressCard/34 card (from SonnetTech).</div></div><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgzqNNBntjFYEOi_jJg2PQCaWtrQ37s_yYeJkq8w_l0HNvccGi0oHfqktH9hE68-1Jm7CqkZ97L-kmnN1ekh4fpi9f6RQR9UPLF6RHek02PBWmUXXZVJMIccQVXFyZohhSpBMXt1v1TyqU/s1600-h/apple-macbook-pro.jpg"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 170px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgzqNNBntjFYEOi_jJg2PQCaWtrQ37s_yYeJkq8w_l0HNvccGi0oHfqktH9hE68-1Jm7CqkZ97L-kmnN1ekh4fpi9f6RQR9UPLF6RHek02PBWmUXXZVJMIccQVXFyZohhSpBMXt1v1TyqU/s320/apple-macbook-pro.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5440318042277396418" /></a><div style="text-align: center;"><i>Apple MacBook Pro Unibody late 2008</i></div><div><div style="text-align: center;"><i>2.8 Ghz Core 2 Duo, 6GB RA</i>M</div><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjMzmTYjb4w9FcJKotxZmRYTczI9GthSuG5TxCUgK1_i3eRuWq33ou5NX6PGqUoliLd51MPt06fvj5nCK_Fkjt5iRBM1NC6CcNuzj6JbEjVqE3e-W16PdnSoTpEjj_Z1536ZapyXfiYER4/s1600-h/sonnettech.jpg"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 182px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjMzmTYjb4w9FcJKotxZmRYTczI9GthSuG5TxCUgK1_i3eRuWq33ou5NX6PGqUoliLd51MPt06fvj5nCK_Fkjt5iRBM1NC6CcNuzj6JbEjVqE3e-W16PdnSoTpEjj_Z1536ZapyXfiYER4/s320/sonnettech.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5440317209430099378" /></a></div><div style="text-align: left;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color:#0000EE;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="text-decoration: underline;"><br /><div style="text-align: center;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); -webkit-text-decorations-in-effect: none; "><i><a href="http://www.sonnettech.com/product/temposataproexpress34.html">Sonnet Tempo SATA Pro ExpressCard/34</a></i></span></div></span></span></div><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: left;">The hard drive enclosure I used for the external tests was the <a href="http://eshop.macsales.com/item/Other%20World%20Computing/MEQM0GBK/">OWC Mercury Elite-AL Pro mini</a> (those guys really need to find shorter product names), a quad interface product, connected to the MacBook Pro through eSATA.</div><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: left;">For reference, I included the internal factory Seagate Momentus 7200 320GB rpm benchmark, and an <a href="http://www.lacie.com/us/products/product.htm?pid=11113">external 4 drive RAID storage system</a> by LaCie (setup as RAID 5 - not the fastest possible) connected through the eSATA ExpressCard as well.</div><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: left;">For reference, most of the tests were done with Xbench, and the throughput ones with AJA System Tests.</div><br /><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgaClCQ6v09ZBZgU6wttW289HVBUdVY7_ch68I5PjB_bkSWDlgYbh6DIA-SAStuLAH0lZibE8vt9yuk7jheAgKEC5o-uAPiiYFKrlTjsjzcSIJ6TGRIOBJ8GWyU7E0vk9kvJUsuQL2YItg/s1600-h/Screen+shot+2010-02-20+at+6.18.27+PM.png"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 186px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgaClCQ6v09ZBZgU6wttW289HVBUdVY7_ch68I5PjB_bkSWDlgYbh6DIA-SAStuLAH0lZibE8vt9yuk7jheAgKEC5o-uAPiiYFKrlTjsjzcSIJ6TGRIOBJ8GWyU7E0vk9kvJUsuQL2YItg/s400/Screen+shot+2010-02-20+at+6.18.27+PM.png" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5440391938058266450" /></a><div>Here we see the OWC Enterprise SSD really shine with over 250 MB/s reads and over 210 MB/s writes.</div><div><br /></div><div>As we can see in the test results, the OWC Enterprise SSD is more than twice as fast as the previous Seagate Momentus drive on raw throughput, but an order of magnitude faster when random access comes into play.</div><div><br /></div><div>For random 4k reads, the OWC Enterprise SSD is about <b>30 times</b> <b>faster</b>! And for random 4k writes, up to <b>100 times faster</b>. Those are performance characteristics that really make a difference in overall system performance with a workload that is disk I/O dependent.</div><div><br /></div><div>Regarding the eSATA RAID 5 system, it's throughput is overall good, but its random access performance is even worse than the internal Seagate drive (4 times worse in random writes). A RAID 0, though, would yield better random access at the price is reliability.</div><div><br /></div><div>We can see from the test results than the external enclosure for the OWC Enterprise SSD in eSATA suffers in performance compared to the internal SATA bus, but remains a top performer, especially in random access, and overall faster in each category than the Seagate drive.</div><div><br /></div><div>The only test that wasn't conclusive is the sequential 4k read - which yielded the same results with XBench no matter which drive was used, so it seems that there's some bottleneck so that it is not I/O bound.</div><div><br /></div><div><b>In conclusion</b>: </div><div><br /></div><div>The new OWC Mercury Extreme Enterprise Class SSD is a major upgrade for any MacBook Pro owner, one that improves disk performance all across the board.</div><div><br /></div><div>After using that drive, one feels immediately the system performance boost, whether it is in booting, launching applications, or doing disk intensive tasks. Launching a vmware Windows XP virtual machine, for example, is a snap. </div><div><br /></div><div>With the very solid feature set of the drive, its reliability over time, its performance, and the reputation of OWC in the Mac community, I strongly encourage this product.</div>Marek K Nowakhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13266994413723107589noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-300664246063817921.post-38383476698053158152010-01-06T02:30:00.000-08:002010-02-23T03:20:17.023-08:00Democracy: The God That Failed - On Discrimination<p style="margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font: 16.0px Georgia">Thinking about discrimination as discussed in Hoppe's work, "Democracy: The God That Failed", I came to the following:</p> <p style="margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font: 16.0px Georgia; min-height: 19.0px"><br /></p> <p style="margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font: 16.0px Georgia">The nature of discrimination (i.e. excluding someone from using one's property, of refusing to do accept an exchange with someone), while of course being a prerogative of private property as argues Hoppe, is different whether the property is a consumption good or a capital good.</p><p style="margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font: 16.0px Georgia"><br /></p><p style="margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font: 16.0px Georgia">For consumption goods, discrimination is essentially a characteristic related to the subjective preferences of the consumer, whether he likes cold tea, and discriminates against hot tea, or he wants to live in a neighborhood with Germans, Catholics, or not.</p><p style="margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font: 16.0px Georgia"><br /></p><p style="margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font: 16.0px Georgia">This is essentially the discrimination that Hoppe is referring to.</p><p style="margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font: 16.0px Georgia"><br /></p><p style="margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font: 16.0px Georgia">But most goods and exchange in an advanced market economy are not consumer goods, but capital goods, or goods of higher order.</p><p style="margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font: 16.0px Georgia"><br /></p><p style="margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font: 16.0px Georgia">As such, the discrimination being performed by the capital good owner is targeted towards its role in contributing to the production of the final the consumer good. </p><p style="margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font: 16.0px Georgia"><br /></p><p style="margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font: 16.0px Georgia">A factory owner, for example, will discriminate against drunk employees in his factory, while discriminating against, say, homosexuals, makes no sense whatsoever</p> <p style="margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font: 16.0px Georgia; min-height: 19.0px"><br /></p> <p style="margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font: 16.0px Georgia">My point is that Hoppe overlooks completely the discrimination in capital good industries (or rather the lack thereof against "Germans, Catholics, homosexuals", or anything <i>not</i> related to the actual production of the final consumer good), which is a powerful forces towards promoting tolerance and peaceful cooperation between people of different cultures, opinions, etc...</p><p style="margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font: 16.0px Georgia"><br /></p><p style="margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font: 16.0px Georgia">Being intolerant of other people has a steep price in a free society, and Hoppe's assessment of the natural order based radical segregation of "counter cultural" individuals is incorrect.</p><div><br /></div> <p style="margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font: 16.0px Georgia"> <div>If anything, a free (anarcho-capitalist) society would have a higher division of labor, and a higher work-force integration that exists at the moment.</div></p>Marek K Nowakhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13266994413723107589noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-300664246063817921.post-55066692845483120472010-01-04T10:35:00.000-08:002010-01-04T11:52:30.004-08:00Democracy: The God That Failed - Review<div>I just finished reading "Democracy: The God That Failed" by Hans-Hermann Hoppe.</div><div><br /><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="http://mises.org/store/Democracy-The-God-That-Failed-P240.aspx"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 179px; height: 250px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhhYE89icIoIXCChpOmJ9TCsN98IwOVwC7cNNEFhwPtSmX1jcWeURKYDyhvP6hstMvDv77n7vW2SAIb7BZeupJaYNVwa3h2Djgunf06IT1JW0aPPuaNws9Tu2-9vzAOraRwNyZhkW7ZnlE/s320/B283.jpg" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5422956589291652210" /></a>This book is a collection of essays on the theme of democracy, monarchy and the natural order.</div><div><br /></div><div>I think this is a very important book, and definitely makes the case against democracy. It shows how democracy is worse, all other things equals, than monarchy, and illustrate the de-civilizing super-secular trend tend that democracy has contributed to.</div><div><br /></div><div>It also argues rightly about the need for delegitimizing the democratic state, and what strategies should be followed to work towards the goal of a creating a free society.</div><div><br /></div><div>There is many many insightful and important points made in the book (Democracy vs Monarchical Wars is an especially good read), and I encourage everyone that has already strong grounds in economics and political economy to read it in order make sense of the democratic order.</div><div><br /></div><div>Being a collection of essays, though, there is quite a lot of repetition between them. Even the footnotes are often duplicated, which makes the reading experience quite frustrating.</div><div><br /></div><div>One essay is also found in another Hoppe's book, The Myth of National Defense (<i>On Government and the Private Production of Defense</i>).</div><div><br /></div><div>In one way, Hoppe's forecast for an natural order society, following the libertarian principle of self ownership, original appropriation and voluntary exchange, where counter-cultural individuals would have to bear the full cost of their deviant and non-traditional behaviors is incomplete.</div><div><br /></div><div>Incomplete because his analysis, while underlining strongly the cost of being socially "non traditional", ignores on the other hand the significant cost of intolerance in a free society. </div><div><br /></div><div>A shop keeper that does not want to sell to a certain group has to forgo their business. A firm that does not hire more productive or cheaper labor on cultural grounds has to suffer the consequences, and potentially be put out of business by a non-discriminatory competitor.</div><div><br /></div><div>Hoppe insist on the 'forced integration' pressure of government power, but far more common is the 'forced exclusion' by the government. Intolerant individuals typically do not want to accept the loss inherent in having discriminatory policies towards consumers and clients, and have been always looking for the state to impose the same discriminatory policies by force on all firms to avoid having to bear the cost by themselves only.</div><div><br /></div><div>In the past states used to force discrimination against racial groups (blacks, asians, etc...), now, especially since WWII, social democracies force discrimination against personal behaviors (gamblers, smokers, drug users, home schoolers, alcohol drinkers, etc...) along with the usual discrimination against now politically correct minorities (white mens, muslims, wealthy people, etc...).</div><div><br /></div><div>Corporations have demonstrated again and again their indifference in the sexual orientation, race, sex, or any criteria in employees which is not related to their productivity. </div><div><br /></div><div>Firms wants to hire the most productive employees at the lowest wages, regardless of other criteria. They want to sell to the most customers at the highest prices, all things considered equal. </div><div><br /></div><div>Where people are discriminated is not by firms on the market, where discrimination has a steep cost, but by bureaucrats and politicians, where discrimination is a way to win elections.</div><div><br /></div><div>As he said, in a free society, there would be just as much discrimination as property owners would desire, but arbitrary discrimination is a costly consumption good, that no competitive firms would afford in a society with a highly developed division of labor.</div><div><br /></div><div><div>So Hoppe's prediction on the nature of a state-free world is off the mark, and left economics at the door while speculating on this important aspect of a stateless society. </div><div><br /></div></div><div>In conclusion, I would really hope that Dr. Hoppe (or someone else) would re-edit this important book in a coherent order, grouped by subject, without the daunting repetition, and would address also the powerful non discriminatory forces on the market and its consequences on the natural order of a free society.</div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div>Marek K Nowakhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13266994413723107589noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-300664246063817921.post-70169968141506734922009-07-28T05:43:00.000-07:002009-07-28T05:54:31.791-07:00Orange uk: Orange Mobile Partner software sucks for mac (for windows too)<div style="text-align: left;">Off topic: I just got an <a href="http://shop.orange.co.uk/shop/mobile-broadband">mobile broadband USB</a> stick from Orange in the UK, and their mac (and windows) software is truly awful.</div><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div><div>Now, at least on Windows, they software succeed to connect to the internet, but on Mac (especially OS X 10.5), it fails without any error after clicking on 'Connect'.</div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div>But do not despair, there's a way to connect to the internet on the mac:</div><div><br /></div><div>After having installed the "Orange Mobile Partner" software that came on the USB stick, and restarted the computer, go in the System Preferences 'Network' panel. </div><div><br /></div><div>The following two network interface should be added automatically:</div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 219px; height: 87px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjRhtnlQG8YhIHX5-zt3VHl-nnUx77o883kUP77EVcH1ahwM3dhOymwcQI_7n3084o7-gQK9NDLFFoQBHkWWge_7NKfGeW_2-YVmvQTD_tSCG_K3UohcI9dPaMIW2si2Fj_0Mb_TFRGRws/s320/Picture+1.png" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5363492310444461810" /><div style="text-align: left;">Now, click on the first interface (HUAWEI Mobile), and enter the following information:</div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: left;"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 126px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEim7lFdSiKerqGTpMrMQay4JSJoNhtO6pu-QO8ctQuQbfoUv-x8Q_F8PvO7QfZ8w2fQi9tMevQeeHHTlvrztnHIo20XRMQVxf6a7guP0vLlusiYNcGG0ezIoFNEN2LkxSg_se65NjheGYg/s320/Picture+2.png" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5363492715307895474" /></div><div style="text-align: left;">Click on the "Advanced..." button at the bottom of the panel, and enter the following settings:</div><div style="text-align: center;"><img style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 320px; height: 138px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjXFIQ0mezEUS1c_VLUhjCyreOiLqtqaaqpXbN4WD7NULUmvmiWsuOZQaYpVR8gFxU11kfcI0gANcdhunQ_670ToG46XCiiRmQ41gfzgCXPI84PdPcMuovnupzGXNOZQWG5MJ9aXuTYsXM/s320/Picture+3.png" border="0" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5363492975863244946" /></div><div style="text-align: left;">Click "Ok", then "Apply" in the network panel. </div><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: left;">You can now connect to the internet using the Orange mobile broadband with the standard Mac OS X software without having to open the awful "Orange Mobile Partner" software!</div><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div>Marek K Nowakhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13266994413723107589noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-300664246063817921.post-37715480624398665502009-07-04T11:05:00.000-07:002009-07-04T13:13:38.097-07:00Who is really against the Federal Reserve.There is a growing community of people that adopt an anti-Federal Reserve position in the United States.<div><br /></div><div>The first community (that I will refer as "<b>the libertarian</b>") object the institution of the Central bank from an economics analysis. </div><div><br /></div><div><a href="http://mises.org/">Austrian Economics</a> teaches that an increase in the quantity of money does not confer any social benefit, that the central bank causes price inflation, redistributes wealth massively from the poor and middle class to the entrepreneurial and political class, is the cause of the business cycle that plagues western economies since the last 200 years(1), and is an indispensable instrument in financing the state wars and growth.<br /><div><br /></div><div>As such, it does not matter exactly who controls the central bank (being politicians, bureaucrats, or outsourced to private banks, or a mix of the 3), what are its institutional details, how it was created, or whether it is constitutional or not. A central bank that lowers artificially the interest rate by expanding bank credit will causes the negative consequences mentioned above.</div><div><br /></div><div><div>The second community (that I will refer as "<b>the primitivo-socialists</b>") is a diverse crowd that oppose the Federal Reserve in the United States (you rarely hear them complaining about other countries' central banks) because it is allegedly part of a general secret conspiracy of elites, bankers, and/or Jews.</div><div><br /></div><div>The main primitivo-socialists are the following:</div><div><br /></div><div><ul><li>The FED was established under false pretences - <i>that's true, but who cares? If liberty was achieved under false pretenses, it would still be good.</i></li><li>It is Federal as much as Federal Express - <i>as if being Federal as in USPS is better?</i></li><li>It is "owned" by private banks -<i>how many "private" companies do you know that their chairman is appointed by the president?</i></li><li>They are charging interest on loan created out of thin air - <i>true, but they give almost all of the interest back to the US Treasury each year - minus its lavish operating budget</i>.</li></ul></div><div><i></i></div><div><i></i></div><div><i></i></div></div><div><br /></div><div>Basically, the FED is, according to the primitivo-socialists, a private owned institution controlled by a secret elite motivated by greed and profit, that only honorable, democratically elected, politicians can save us from. <b>Sounds like a socialist rant against Wall-Mart, isn't it?</b></div><div><br /></div><div>Because it is. </div><div><br /></div><div>Primitivo-socialist often portrait themselves as being anti-socialists and as being in favor of freedom, but because of the fundamental lack of understanding of economics and political economy, they believe, in the end, in the same fundamental socialist ideology (but at a primitive level), that only the government can save us from those powerful individuals.</div><div><br /></div><div>The primitivo-socialists have produced numerous material, such as the movie <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qX_qOaZmCFM">Wake Up Call - New World Order Documentary</a>.</div><div><br /></div><div>That movie blames every thing on elite, "secret" individuals, and avoids carefully to criticize politicians. Very little is said about the actual impact in the economy of the FED, but there is endless rants about its establishment, the bankers involved, their meeting, etc, etc, etc...</div><div><br /></div><div>I would resume that movie with the following quote from it:</div><div><br /></div><div><div></div><blockquote><div>Globalism, essentially, is the desire for one world government, one world military, one world economy. Which, on a broad philosophical basis, may not be that bad. But, the problem is, is it, we are being pushed in globalism by secrecy and by deceit and nobody's got a chance to actually consider the ramifications or consider the methodology that is being used to push us into this globalism. - Jim Marrs</div><div></div></blockquote><div>So democratic globalism is fine and dandy: Socialists to the core.</div><div><br /></div></div><div>Other primitivo-socialist work include:</div><div><br /></div><div><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lXb-LrVkuwM">The Money Masters</a></div><div><br /></div><div><a href="http://www.monetary.org/lostscienceofmoney.html">The Lost Science of Money</a></div><div><br /></div><div><div>The primitivo-socialists are basically a giant <b>straw-man</b> that promotes ever bigger government to save us from the government we have now.</div><div><br /></div><div><b>Libertarians have to distance themselves from the primitivo-socialist, since any pro-FED attack will unavoidably merge both anti-fed positions into one, and easily dismiss it by demolishing the primitivo-socialist arguments.</b></div><div><b><br /></b></div><div>Now more than ever, we must oppose the FED for the right reasons, and educate the public about why they should too.</div><div><br /></div></div><div>(1) Note that even without a central bank, fractional reserve banking is sufficient to cause a business cycle.</div></div>Marek K Nowakhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13266994413723107589noreply@blogger.com9tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-300664246063817921.post-80530231955736657652009-06-28T12:08:00.001-07:002009-08-07T03:14:27.664-07:00Dr Woods: Does the FED lowering the interest rate causes a decrease in lending standards?The answer is, <i>ceteris paribus</i>, no.<br /><br /><div>The great historian, economist and best selling author <a href="http://www.thomasewoods.com/">Thomas E. Woods</a> made a <a href="http://www.thomasewoods.com/">great apparence</a> on the Howard Monroe radio show.<br /><br /></div><div>As always, Dr Woods was a great guest and a strong and articulate defender of liberty and truth against Leviathan.</div><div><div> <div><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="http://mises.org/store/Meltdown-P557.aspx"><img style="margin: 0px auto 10px; display: block; text-align: center; cursor: pointer; width: 200px; height: 300px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjSRnjsZ4eC1Y2NKZJWACZvlkrMlzt_t_sJaH49fy-pQisglCaD2SE_QJ7cwkq4KQetywq_p-jP5X-QTMP1BiUyT_M6slRcjB92B2ntcXd41lKs7As-FBcKosV-ho-J-rvSpVFPn4EJ0NA/s320/meltdown.jpg" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5367162879447567298" border="0" /></a></div> </div></div><div>One bit though I disagreed with.</div><div><br /></div><div>He mentioned that he didn't think that programs such as the Community and Reinvestment Act did much to create the sub-prime crisis, and that the effect of the FED credit expansion has the effect of lowering banking lending standard by itself.</div><div><br /></div><div>He gave the example of a sport manager that is suddenly forced to hire few more players, and will then pick lower caliber players that he has already, since, obviously, the best players were already chosen (I'm paraphrasing).</div><div><br /></div><div>This analogy is missing an important part: The manager has now <b>more money</b> to hire players, and can then chose players that are as talented, but would not have been interested in joining the team at the wage that the manager was previously offering.</div><div><br /></div><div>This is precisely the effect of the FED: interests rate are now lower, so demand for loans is increased, and the point is that <b>new credit-worthy customers are now demanding those low interest loans too</b>, not only sub-primers. </div><div><br /></div><div>I do believe that the FED credit expansion would have caused a bubble and a crash no matter if the regulators didn't pushed the bank into lowering their lending standards, but it probably wouldn't have concentrated the bubble in the retail housing sector as much as we have seen. </div><div><br /></div><div>It would have been a bit more spread in other sectors.</div>Marek K Nowakhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13266994413723107589noreply@blogger.com0